Combat Edge Intelligence

Rony Henrique vs Dinis Paiva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dinis Paiva
us

Dinis Paiva

“Sweetbread”

13-9-0BantamweightCES

1558Solid

Tale of the tape

23-16-1Record13-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cerrado MMATeamKeith Allen MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rony HenriqueNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547
Dinis PaivaNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.73
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
82%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rony HenriqueDinis Paiva
1400145015001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
3 (13%)
Submission
2 (15%)
8 (35%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Rony Henrique79%
Dinis Paiva 21%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rony Henrique a 79% favorite over Dinis Paiva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.

Dinis Paiva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rony Henrique finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Dinis Paiva 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.