Combat Edge Intelligence

Rony Henrique vs Paddy Rutledge

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-15-1Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cerrado MMATeamSutemi MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rony HenriqueNow 1543
If they win+12→ 1555
If they lose-12→ 1531
Paddy RutledgeNow 1546
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Rony HenriquePaddy Rutledge
1400145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
2 (67%)
3 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (32%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Paddy Rutledge77%
Rony Henrique 23%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Rutledge a 77% favorite over Rony Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1543 vs 1546), separated by just 3 points.

Rony Henrique enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rony Henrique finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Rutledge 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.