Combat Edge Intelligence

Tom Wright vs Alex Soto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Soto
us

Alex Soto

“Extremo”

8-3-1BantamweightBFC

1531Average

Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record8-3-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Predators MMATeamKHK MMA Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tom WrightNow 1537
If they win+24→ 1561
If they lose-24→ 1513
Alex SotoNow 1531
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.95
TBD
Strike accuracy
25%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.02
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.82
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Tom WrightAlex Soto
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
2 (67%)
Submission
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tom Wright60%
Alex Soto 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tom Wright a 60% favorite over Alex Soto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1531), separated by just 6 points.

Tom Wright enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Tom Wright finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Alex Soto 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.