Combat Edge Intelligence

Aalon Cruz vs Cornel Thompson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
78,0"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Darkside MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aalon CruzNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Cornel ThompsonNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.58
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
8.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aalon CruzCornel Thompson
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
2 (18%)
Submission
1 (9%)
5 (45%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

Cornel Thompson63%
Aalon Cruz 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cornel Thompson a 63% favorite over Aalon Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.

Cornel Thompson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Aalon Cruz finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Cornel Thompson 18%.

Aalon Cruz carries a 10-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.