Combat Edge Intelligence

Aalon Cruz vs Magomed Sulumov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
78,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Darkside MMATeamFight Club Akhmat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aalon CruzNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Magomed SulumovNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.58
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
8.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aalon CruzMagomed Sulumov
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (17%)
5 (45%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Sulumov63%
Aalon Cruz 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Sulumov a 63% favorite over Aalon Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Aalon Cruz finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Sulumov 42%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.