Aaron Brink vs Gvido Šusts
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-27-0Record2-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
231 lbsWeight265 lbs
TBDTeamTBD
What's at stake
Gvido Šusts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Aaron Brink carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1500
If they lose-10→ 1476
If they win+21→ 1552
If they lose-27→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron BrinkGvido Šusts
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gvido Šusts70%
Aaron Brink 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 70% favorite over Aaron Brink in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Gvido Šusts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1486, a 45-point edge.
Aaron Brink enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Aaron Brink finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.