Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Jeffery vs Andrei Semenov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record34-9-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Niagara Top TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron JefferyNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Andrei SemenovNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.51
TBD
Strike accuracy
13%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.77
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Aaron JefferyAndrei Semenov
170020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (56%)
KO/TKO
11 (32%)
1 (6%)
Submission
15 (44%)
6 (38%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Aaron Jeffery73%
Andrei Semenov 27%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Jeffery a 73% favorite over Andrei Semenov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrei Semenov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1698), separated by just 4 points.

Andrei Semenov enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Aaron Jeffery finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Andrei Semenov 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.