Aaron Phillips vs Alejandro Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record14-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamArizona Athletic Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1517
If they lose-17→ 1485
If they win+17→ 1505
If they lose-15→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsAlejandro Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Phillips60%
Alejandro Garcia 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Phillips a 60% favorite over Alejandro Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1488), separated by just 14 points.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Alejandro Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Alejandro Garcia 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.