Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Phillips vs David Barrios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record4-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamNor Cal Fight Factory

What's at stake

Aaron Phillips is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — David Barrios carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aaron PhillipsNow 1502
If they win+15→ 1517
If they lose-17→ 1485
David BarriosNow 1481
If they win+17→ 1498
If they lose-15→ 1466

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.51
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0.86
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
44%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aaron PhillipsDavid Barrios
150015502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (75%)
4 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aaron Phillips and David Barrios within a point of even.

Aaron Phillips holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1481, a 21-point edge.

Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, David Barrios 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.