Aaron Phillips vs Gabriel Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record10-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReach71,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
Aaron Phillips is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gabriel Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1517
If they lose-17→ 1485
If they win+26→ 1500
If they lose-22→ 1452
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsGabriel Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Silva60%
Aaron Phillips 40%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Silva a 60% favorite over Aaron Phillips in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Phillips's way (46%).
Aaron Phillips holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1474, a 28-point edge.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Silva 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.