Aaron Phillips vs Joseph Sandoval
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record7-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Headkicks MMATeamBighead MMA
What's at stake
Aaron Phillips is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Joseph Sandoval carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1516
If they lose-18→ 1484
If they win+18→ 1483
If they lose-14→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aaron PhillipsJoseph Sandoval
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aaron Phillips60%
Joseph Sandoval 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Aaron Phillips a 60% favorite over Joseph Sandoval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Aaron Phillips holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1502 to 1465, a 37-point edge.
Aaron Phillips enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Joseph Sandoval enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Aaron Phillips finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Sandoval 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.