Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Pico vs Yadier del Valle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamGracie Barra Westchase

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron PicoNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683
Yadier del ValleNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.16
Sig. strikes / min
6.25
54%
Strike accuracy
67%
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
45%
Strike defense
53%
6.54
Takedown avg.
2.08
50%
Takedown accuracy
43%
0%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
3.47

Trajectory

Aaron PicoYadier del Valle
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
2 (14%)
Submission
4 (40%)
3 (21%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aaron Pico and Yadier del Valle within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1700), separated by just 1 points.

Aaron Pico finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Yadier del Valle 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.