Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Wilkinson vs Bryce Logan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record13-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Straight Blast GymTeamPower MMA Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron WilkinsonNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523
Bryce LoganNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
0%
Strike accuracy
TBD
0
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
100%
Strike defense
TBD
7.32
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aaron WilkinsonBryce Logan
1550201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
7 (64%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (18%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Bryce Logan59%
Aaron Wilkinson 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bryce Logan a 59% favorite over Aaron Wilkinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1540), separated by just 1 points.

Bryce Logan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Aaron Wilkinson finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Bryce Logan 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.