Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdelkrim Zouad vs Chris Heatherly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight180 lbs
MMA BarcelonaTeamFit or Fight

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdelkrim ZouadNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Chris HeatherlyNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.27
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abdelkrim ZouadChris Heatherly
1500155016001650201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
3 (43%)
Submission
4 (44%)
1 (14%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdelkrim Zouad55%
Chris Heatherly 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdelkrim Zouad a 55% favorite over Chris Heatherly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.

Abdelkrim Zouad finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Chris Heatherly 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.