Abdelkrim Zouad vs Matt Serra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-Reach68"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA BarcelonaTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abdelkrim ZouadMatt Serra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Serra56%
Abdelkrim Zouad 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Serra a 56% favorite over Abdelkrim Zouad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.
Abdelkrim Zouad finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Matt Serra 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.