Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdelkrim Zouad vs Ricky Rainey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ricky Rainey
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Ricky Rainey

“The Sniper”

13-6-0WelterweightUFC

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-Reach43,5"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
MMA BarcelonaTeamRenegade Fighting Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdelkrim ZouadNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Ricky RaineyNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
18%
TBD
Takedown defense
56%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abdelkrim ZouadRicky Rainey
1500155016001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (14%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdelkrim Zouad60%
Ricky Rainey 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdelkrim Zouad a 60% favorite over Ricky Rainey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.

Ricky Rainey enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abdelkrim Zouad finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Rainey 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.