Combat Edge Intelligence

Abderrahman Errachidy vs Cristiano Marcello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Rebels Team CasablancaTeamCM System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abderrahman ErrachidyNow 1572
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548
Cristiano MarcelloNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.63
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.57
TBD
Takedown accuracy
12%
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Abderrahman ErrachidyCristiano Marcello
150015501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (69%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Abderrahman Errachidy70%
Cristiano Marcello 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abderrahman Errachidy a 70% favorite over Cristiano Marcello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1570), separated by just 2 points.

Cristiano Marcello enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abderrahman Errachidy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Cristiano Marcello 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.