Abderrahman Errachidy vs Leonardo Mafra Texeira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record15-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Rebels Team CasablancaTeamKings MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abderrahman ErrachidyLeonardo Mafra Texeira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abderrahman Errachidy72%
Leonardo Mafra Texeira 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Abderrahman Errachidy a 72% favorite over Leonardo Mafra Texeira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1570), separated by just 2 points.
Leonardo Mafra Texeira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abderrahman Errachidy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Mafra Texeira 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.