Combat Edge Intelligence

Abderrahman Errachidy vs Mike Rio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Rio
us

Mike Rio

“The Wolverine”

10-5-0LightweightFTP

1569Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record10-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Rebels Team CasablancaTeamZen Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abderrahman ErrachidyNow 1572
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548
Mike RioNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.58
TBD
Takedown accuracy
28%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.03

Trajectory

Abderrahman ErrachidyMike Rio
1500155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Abderrahman Errachidy70%
Mike Rio 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abderrahman Errachidy a 70% favorite over Mike Rio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1569), separated by just 3 points.

Abderrahman Errachidy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mike Rio 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.