Combat Edge Intelligence

Abderrahman Errachidy vs Waylon Lowe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Rebels Team CasablancaTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abderrahman ErrachidyNow 1572
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548
Waylon LoweNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.92
TBD
Strike accuracy
56%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.58
TBD
Takedown accuracy
52%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Abderrahman ErrachidyWaylon Lowe
1500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (100%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (19%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Abderrahman Errachidy62%
Waylon Lowe 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Abderrahman Errachidy a 62% favorite over Waylon Lowe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1571), separated by just 1 points.

Abderrahman Errachidy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Waylon Lowe 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.