Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Alexander Shabliy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-2-0Record25-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamPeresvet Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovNow 1779
If they win+16→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1763
Alexander ShabliyNow 1788
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovAlexander Shabliy
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
12 (48%)
6 (27%)
Submission
7 (28%)
7 (32%)
Decision
6 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Shabliy62%
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Shabliy a 62% favorite over Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1779 vs 1788), separated by just 9 points.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Alexander Shabliy 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.