Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Gregor Gillespie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-2-0Record14-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamBellmore Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovNow 1779
If they win+16→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1763
Gregor GillespieNow 1772
If they win+16→ 1788
If they lose-16→ 1756

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.74
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
6.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
48%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovGregor Gillespie
17502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
6 (27%)
Submission
5 (36%)
7 (32%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov67%
Gregor Gillespie 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov a 67% favorite over Gregor Gillespie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1779 vs 1772), separated by just 7 points.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Gregor Gillespie 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.