Abdullah Saleem vs Alvaro Herrera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record9-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
67"Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team JarjaoTeamLobo Gym MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abdullah SaleemAlvaro Herrera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abdullah Saleem52%
Alvaro Herrera 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Abdullah Saleem a 52% favorite over Alvaro Herrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1521), separated by just 5 points.
Abdullah Saleem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alvaro Herrera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Abdullah Saleem finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Alvaro Herrera 100%.
Alvaro Herrera carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.