Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdullah Saleem vs Luke Caudillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record17-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team JarjaoTeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdullah SaleemNow 1526
If they win+23→ 1549
If they lose-25→ 1501
Luke CaudilloNow 1512
If they win+12→ 1524
If they lose-12→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
TBD
Strike accuracy
24%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.98
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
86%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abdullah SaleemLuke Caudillo
1500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
4 (80%)
Submission
1 (6%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Abdullah Saleem60%
Luke Caudillo 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Abdullah Saleem a 60% favorite over Luke Caudillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1512), separated by just 14 points.

Abdullah Saleem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abdullah Saleem finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luke Caudillo 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.