Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdullah Saleem vs Nick Ertl

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record8-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
67"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team JarjaoTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdullah SaleemNow 1526
If they win+25→ 1551
If they lose-23→ 1503
Nick ErtlNow 1537
If they win+15→ 1552
If they lose-17→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Abdullah SaleemNick Ertl
1500155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (80%)
Submission
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Abdullah Saleem and Nick Ertl within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1537), separated by just 11 points.

Abdullah Saleem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nick Ertl enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abdullah Saleem finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nick Ertl 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.