Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdullah Saleem vs Paul Kelly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Kelly

Paul Kelly

“Tellys”

15-5-0WelterweightPMMA

1534Average

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record15-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
67"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
Team JarjaoTeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdullah SaleemNow 1526
If they win+25→ 1551
If they lose-23→ 1503
Paul KellyNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.34
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
31%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.49

Trajectory

Abdullah SaleemPaul Kelly
155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
4 (80%)
Submission
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Abdullah Saleem and Paul Kelly within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1534), separated by just 8 points.

Abdullah Saleem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Paul Kelly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abdullah Saleem finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Kelly 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.