Combat Edge Intelligence

Abel Trujillo vs Austin Hubbard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record16-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70,0"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
BlackziliansTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abel TrujilloNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Austin HubbardNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
41%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
60%
Strike defense
56%
2.18
Takedown avg.
1.59
45%
Takedown accuracy
32%
40%
Takedown defense
68%
0.44
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Abel TrujilloAustin Hubbard
160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
4 (29%)
Submission
2 (13%)
5 (36%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Austin Hubbard56%
Abel Trujillo 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Austin Hubbard a 56% favorite over Abel Trujillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1619), separated by just 4 points.

Abel Trujillo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Austin Hubbard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Abel Trujillo finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Austin Hubbard 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.