Abraham Bably vs Sean O'Connell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record21-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'1"
74"Reach74,0"
242 lbsWeight205 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abraham BablySean O'Connell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abraham Bably63%
Sean O'Connell 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Abraham Bably a 63% favorite over Sean O'Connell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean O'Connell's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1630), separated by just 5 points.
Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Abraham Bably finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Connell 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.