Combat Edge Intelligence

Abu Azaitar vs Jake Woodley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Abu Azaitar
ma

Abu Azaitar

“Captain Morocco”

14-4-1MiddleweightUFC

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-1Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
41,0"Reach-
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team AzaitarTeamTeam Bodyshop

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abu AzaitarNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Jake WoodleyNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Abu AzaitarJake Woodley
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (13%)
6 (43%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Woodley63%
Abu Azaitar 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Woodley a 63% favorite over Abu Azaitar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1636), separated by just 2 points.

Abu Azaitar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Abu Azaitar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Jake Woodley 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.