Combat Edge Intelligence

Achilles Estremadura vs Adam Cullen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
40,5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Ryan's MMA - Checkmat VancouverTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Achilles EstremaduraNow 1637
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Adam CullenNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
70%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Achilles EstremaduraAdam Cullen
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (42%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Cullen66%
Achilles Estremadura 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Cullen a 66% favorite over Achilles Estremadura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.

Adam Cullen enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Achilles Estremadura finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Adam Cullen 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.