Adam Fugitt vs Michael Morales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record19-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach 79"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamEntram Gym
What's at stake
Michael Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Adam Fugitt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1633
If they lose-7→ 1601
If they win+7→ 1846
If they lose-25→ 1814
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam FugittMichael Morales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Morales92%
Adam Fugitt 8%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Morales a 92% favorite over Adam Fugitt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Michael Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1839 to 1608, a 231-point edge.
Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Morales enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Michael Morales 79%.
Michael Morales carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.