Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Pałasz vs Shelton Graves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Adam Pałasz
pl

Adam Pałasz

“Adas z Jawora”

10-5-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1585Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record11-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
-Reach40,0"
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Rio Grappling WroclawTeamTop Flight MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam PałaszNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Shelton GravesNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.19
TBD
Strike accuracy
69%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.81
TBD
Strike defense
33%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam PałaszShelton Graves
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
1 (10%)
Submission
1 (9%)
1 (10%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Pałasz60%
Shelton Graves 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Pałasz a 60% favorite over Shelton Graves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shelton Graves's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1591), separated by just 6 points.

Adam Pałasz finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Shelton Graves 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.