Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Pałasz vs Karl Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Adam Pałasz
pl

Adam Pałasz

“Adas z Jawora”

10-5-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1585Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
-Reach79"
261 lbsWeight247 lbs
Rio Grappling WroclawTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam PałaszNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Karl WilliamsNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.15
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.20
TBD
Takedown accuracy
49%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Adam PałaszKarl Williams
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
1 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (10%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adam Pałasz and Karl Williams within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1594), separated by just 9 points.

Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Adam Pałasz finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.