Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Wieczorek vs Renan Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'8"
46,0"Reach85"
232 lbsWeight264 lbs
AKS ChorzowTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam WieczorekNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Renan FerreiraNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.68
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0.41
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adam WieczorekRenan Ferreira
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
6 (55%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Renan Ferreira52%
Adam Wieczorek 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 52% favorite over Adam Wieczorek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1666), separated by just 7 points.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Adam Wieczorek finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.