Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Yandiev vs Tom Breese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record18-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight or DieTeamTeam Renegade

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam YandievNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Tom BreeseNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.18
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
8%
Strike accuracy
51%
6.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
36%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
25%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Adam YandievTom Breese
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
6 (67%)
Submission
12 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adam Yandiev and Tom Breese within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1662), separated by just 3 points.

Tom Breese enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Adam Yandiev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.