Combat Edge Intelligence

Adli Edwards vs Josh Culibao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record11-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Sunshine Performance TrainingTeamIgor MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adli EdwardsNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Josh CulibaoNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
66%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Adli EdwardsJosh Culibao
16502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
3 (33%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (44%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adli Edwards and Josh Culibao within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Adli Edwards enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Adli Edwards finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Josh Culibao 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.