Combat Edge Intelligence

Adrian Yanez vs Dwight Joseph

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-6-1Record16-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight ClubTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adrian YanezNow 1689
If they win+16→ 1705
If they lose-16→ 1673
Dwight JosephNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.96
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
57%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adrian YanezDwight Joseph
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
2 (12%)
Submission
3 (19%)
4 (24%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adrian Yanez and Dwight Joseph within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1689 vs 1690), separated by just 1 points.

Adrian Yanez finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Dwight Joseph 50%.

Adrian Yanez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.