Combat Edge Intelligence

Adriano Martins vs Ieuan Davies

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record8-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
72,0"Reach-
154 lbsWeight156 lbs
Top Life AmazonasTeamBlackledge MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adriano MartinsNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
Ieuan DaviesNow 1670
If they win+24→ 1694
If they lose-24→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
0.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
80%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
82%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adriano MartinsIeuan Davies
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (45%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
3 (10%)
Submission
6 (75%)
13 (45%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ieuan Davies63%
Adriano Martins 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ieuan Davies a 63% favorite over Adriano Martins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adriano Martins's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1670), separated by just 0 points.

Ieuan Davies enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Adriano Martins finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Ieuan Davies 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.