Combat Edge Intelligence

Adriano Moraes vs Johnny Munoz Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record14-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Constrictor TeamTeamC-Quence Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adriano MoraesNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Johnny Munoz Jr.Now 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.44
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.66
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.40
TBD
Takedown accuracy
26%
TBD
Takedown defense
45%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.75

Trajectory

Adriano MoraesJohnny Munoz Jr.
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
13 (57%)
Submission
7 (50%)
6 (26%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Adriano Moraes53%
Johnny Munoz Jr. 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adriano Moraes a 53% favorite over Johnny Munoz Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.

Johnny Munoz Jr. enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Adriano Moraes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Munoz Jr. 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.