Combat Edge Intelligence

Adriano Moraes vs Paris Moran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record14-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Constrictor TeamTeamGracie Barra Katy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adriano MoraesNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Paris MoranNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adriano MoraesParis Moran
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
13 (57%)
Submission
2 (14%)
6 (26%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Paris Moran53%
Adriano Moraes 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paris Moran a 53% favorite over Adriano Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1669), separated by just 2 points.

Paris Moran enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Adriano Moraes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Paris Moran 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.