Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmad Hassanzada vs Andrew Craig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTeam Tooke

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmad HassanzadaNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Andrew CraigNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.16
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
39%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.01
38%
Strike defense
51%
2.43
Takedown avg.
0.53
19%
Takedown accuracy
38%
0%
Takedown defense
72%
1.22
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmad HassanzadaAndrew Craig
16001650170020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
6 (55%)
Submission
1 (11%)
1 (9%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ahmad Hassanzada and Andrew Craig within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1631), separated by just 4 points.

Ahmad Hassanzada enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ahmad Hassanzada finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Andrew Craig 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.