Ahmed Darwish vs Alex Schoenauer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record15-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'3"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishAlex Schoenauer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Darwish60%
Alex Schoenauer 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 60% favorite over Alex Schoenauer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Schoenauer's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1556), separated by just 1 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Alex Schoenauer 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.