Ahmed Darwish vs Justin Sumter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
70"Reach80,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamFighting Arts Academy CT
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishJustin Sumter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Darwish53%
Justin Sumter 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 53% favorite over Justin Sumter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1555), separated by just 0 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Justin Sumter 78%.
Justin Sumter carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.