Ahmed Darwish vs Kevin Engel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
70"Reach81"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamFinney's Hit Squad
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1521
If they lose-24→ 1473
If they win+24→ 1527
If they lose-24→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishKevin Engel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Darwish60%
Kevin Engel 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 60% favorite over Kevin Engel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Engel's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1497 vs 1503), separated by just 6 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Engel 100%.
Kevin Engel carries a 11-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.