Ahmed Darwish vs Manuel Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamTP Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1520
If they lose-25→ 1472
If they win+25→ 1514
If they lose-23→ 1466
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishManuel Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Darwish70%
Manuel Rodriguez 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 70% favorite over Manuel Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1497 vs 1489), separated by just 8 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Rodriguez 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.