Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed Darwish vs Mark Hughes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ahmed Darwish
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Ahmed Darwish

“The Egyptian Eagle”

6-1-0MiddleweightPFL

1555Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record6-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamMiletich Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed DarwishNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Mark HughesNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.90
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.40
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
4.50

Trajectory

Ahmed DarwishMark Hughes
150015502001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
3 (50%)
Submission
1 (17%)
2 (33%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ahmed Darwish53%
Mark Hughes 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 53% favorite over Mark Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1555), separated by just 0 points.

Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hughes 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.