Ahmed Darwish vs Phil Baroni
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record16-19-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1578
If they lose-25→ 1530
If they win+12→ 1559
If they lose-12→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishPhil Baroni
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Darwish62%
Phil Baroni 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 62% favorite over Phil Baroni in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1547), separated by just 8 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Phil Baroni 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.