Ahmed Darwish vs Ryan Janes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'3"
70"Reach76.50
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamZugec Ultimate Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishRyan Janes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ahmed Darwish and Ryan Janes within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1559), separated by just 4 points.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Janes 80%.
Ryan Janes carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.