Ahmed Darwish vs Ryan McGilivray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Ryan McGilivray
Elo1482AverageTale of the tape
6-2-0Record0-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionTBD
5'9"HeightTBD
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeightTBD
TBDTeamTBD
What's at stake
Ahmed Darwish is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ryan McGilivray carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1520
If they lose-25→ 1472
If they win+25→ 1507
If they lose-23→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ahmed DarwishRyan McGilivray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ahmed Darwish70%
Ryan McGilivray 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ahmed Darwish a 70% favorite over Ryan McGilivray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Ahmed Darwish holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1497 to 1482, a 15-point edge.
Ahmed Darwish enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ahmed Darwish finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.