Combat Edge Intelligence

Ahmed El Sisy vs James Llontop

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
69"Reach73″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Atom Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam FFC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ahmed El SisyNow 1631
If they win+24→ 1655
If they lose-24→ 1607
James LlontopNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ahmed El SisyJames Llontop
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
4 (50%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ahmed El Sisy and James Llontop within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Ahmed El Sisy enters on a 2-fight win streak.

James Llontop enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ahmed El Sisy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, James Llontop 57%.

James Llontop carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.